Are The Jays Going To Hang Around?

With the Jays off to a 23-14 start and a 1 game lead in the AL East enough time in the season has past to ask if they are for real and if they can hang on?

The answer to the first question is Yes and the second is No. A biggest reason they are off to such a hot start is because they have only played 6 divisional games and have not had to play the Red Sox and Rays yet. What they have done is exactly what they need to do though and that is beat up on the AL Central and West. I think they are going to get their asses kicked all year by Boston and Tampa and I think they are about as good as the Yankees. The Yanks pitching stinks but with ARod back they will score runs, especially against the bottom of the Jays rotation, which I don't think is going to hold up.

The Jays also need to start getting a lot more from Vernon Wells and Alex Rios, a pair that are very quickly becoming vastly overrated. Aaron Hill, Scott Rolen and Adam Lind are all very good hitters but you can't expect the three of them to hit over .320 all year.

So what happens with the Jays? Well if they were in any other divison in baseball I would say they have a shot to win the division or make a real run at the Wild Card. But unfortunately they are in the toughtest division in baseball. I expect them to lose a lot of divisional games and end up around .500 with a shot of winning maybe 87 games at most. And I expect the Red Sox to run away with the division.