The Pursuit Of Leisure

100% correct, 50% of the time. A tongue in cheek look at culture both high and low.

Saturday, January 14, 2006

This week's NFL playoff picks.

I was 4-0 last week, including getting the final score right in the 'Skins-Bucs game. Brilliance or fluke? I say a lot of both. This week's quartet of games should be much more competitive and tougher to pick, and all four games are rematches of regular season games. Here goes:

Washington (10-6) at Seattle (13-3) Saturday, 4:30pm. Fox, Global

Washington won at home 20-17 in OT on Oct 2, but they ain't winnin' this one. Their offense looked absolutely horrible last week against Tampa and they are really banged up. There defense is playing pretty well but they are going to give up points to Seattle's high powered offense. Look for MVP RB Shaun Alexander to have a big game and QB Matt Hasselback throwing a couple of first half touchdowns forcing the 'Skins to play catch up. This one could get ugly. Seahawks 27, Redskins 10.

New England (10-6) at Denver (13-3) Saturday, 8:00pm. CBS, Global

Denver beat the Pats at home on Oct. 16, 28-20. Pats QB Tom Brady is 10-0 all time in the playoffs, but this is not as good a team as the three he lead to Super Bowl victories. Despite beating Jacksonville easily last week, they did not look good doing it. Their secondary can be exploited and Denver's offensive line, the best in the league, is better than the Pats defensive line. The Broncos also have a fast and physical defense. The difference in this game will be how well QB Jake Plummer plays for the Broncs. He's played smart all year and I don't see that changing now. This game will be close but in the end home field is the difference maker for my Broncos, and Brady suffers his first playoff defeat. Broncos 24, Patriots 21.

Pittsburgh (11-5) at Indianapolis (14-2) Sunday, 1:00pm CBS, Global

At home on Nov. 28 the Colts spanked the Steelers 26-7 and the game wasn't even that close. Pittsburgh comes in on a role and their running game is as strong as ever. Their defense is still strong and they have the best safety in the league in Troy Polamalu. He may slow down WR Marvin Harrison, but then WR Reggie Wayne will kill them. Or RB Edgerrin James. Or QB Peyton Manning. The Colts have too many weapons and their defense is quick and relentless. The Colts will score early and often and make the Steelers win with QB Ben Roethlesberger having to do it through the air. The bye week will have helped the Colts refocus after the death of coach Tony Dungy's son and nothing stops their march to the Super Bowl. Colts 31, Steelers 21.

Carolina (11-5) at Chicago (11-5) Sunday, 4:30pm Fox, Global

The Bears won an ugly 13-3 game in Chicago on Nov. 20. This game could be just as ugly. The Bears are giving QB Rex Grossman his first platyoff start, and only his second start of this year. That's how desperate their offense is. Luckily they have the best defense in the league. This team reminds me of the Raven team that won the Super Bowl a few years ago, but the Bears have a little less offense. The Panthers have been inconsistent all year but looked great last week against the Giants. Which means they could lay an egg this week. Their defense is playing well and QB Jake Delhomme has a lot of guts. This game is tough to call but since the weather looks to be pretty good in Chicago I go with the Panthers in a slight upset. Panthers 10, Bears 6.

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